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What are the specific risks for the financial markets? What political risks will have an impact?
To what levels will interest rates rise? And how fast? Is it necessary to hedge your interest rate risk?

Risk & Strategy publications

Is Europe faced with impossible choices?

Andy Langenkamp
Thursday, 30 March 2023
Andy Langenkamp

Three trilemmas provide insight into the deeper problems with which Europe is struggling and which determine the prospects for European economic growth, government bonds and the euro, among other things.

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Can a banking crisis and inflation be fought at the same time?

Eddy Markus
Thursday, 23 March 2023
Eddy Markus

Central banks are grappling with excessive inflation and a potential banking crisis. The first requires higher interest rates, the second lower rates. The banking problems do lead to less lending and less economic growth. This pushes down wage increases and inflation. So, does the unrest in the financial sector do the inflation job for central banks?

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More Risk & Strategy publications

FX & Interest Rates publications

Change in expectations for EUR/USD due to banking problems

Eddy Markus
Monday, 27 March 2023
Eddy Markus

So far, the euro seems to be benefiting from the banking problems in the U.S. and Switzerland, but this could suddenly change if concerns about Deutsche Bank increase further. Lending will then come under further downward pressure and bring a recession closer, benefitting safe haven currencies such as the dollar, yen and Swiss franc.
 

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EUR/USD & GBP hedging perspective

Eddy Markus
Tuesday, 21 March 2023
Eddy Markus

Preventing a banking crisis is the top priority for central banks while lowering inflation has moved to second place. In first instance, this is negative for EUR/USD...

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More FX & Interest Rates publications