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What are the specific risks for the financial markets? What political risks will have an impact?
To what levels will interest rates rise? And how fast? Is it necessary to hedge your interest rate risk?

Risk & Strategy publications

Monetary policy should stay tight, despite the decline in inflation

Eddy Markus
Thursday, 1 December 2022
Eddy Markus

We expect the ECB and the Fed to aim for a recession that is not too deep but will last for quite some time. The question is whether they succeed in bringing inflation under control without economic growth spiraling downwards, resulting in a deep crisis.
 

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Political foundations under potential growth are crumbling

Andy Langenkamp
Thursday, 24 November 2022
Andy Langenkamp

Due to various political risks, the economic climate in larger Western economies could deteriorate considerably in the coming years; with far-reaching consequences for, among other things, inflation, currency markets, the gold price and strategic considerations for corporations.

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More Risk & Strategy publications

FX & Interest Rates publications

EUR/USD & GBP hedging perspective

Eddy Markus
Tuesday, 29 November 2022
Eddy Markus

What are the consequences for EUR/USD of the combination of expected cold winter weather, China's struggles with its corona policy and strong wage increases in the US in particular?

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Yield curve warns of hard landing

Ron Markus
Monday, 28 November 2022
Ron Markus

Better-than-expected economic data have fueled hope of a soft economic landing. However, the inverse shape of the German and especially the US yield curves give a stark warning of a hard landing.
 

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More FX & Interest Rates publications