Independent research into the global economy and key FX and interest rate markets in one place

Download publications with mid-term analyses. Ideal for teams involved in hedging financial market risks. Request a free trial period.

JumboHuntsmanTransaviaWagenborgEcco
What are the specific risks for the financial markets? What political risks will have an impact?
What levels for EUR/USD and EUR/GBP can you expect in the months ahead. What are the scenarios?
Publications
To what levels will interest rates rise? And how fast? Is it necessary to hedge your interest rate risk?

Risk & Strategy publications

The trade war is riskier than it seems on the face of it

Eddy Markus
Thursday, 16 May 2019
Eddy Markus

The markets do not seem be overly concerned about the trade war. Partly because they are confident that the Fed will step in if Beijing and Washington end up in an all-out trade war. Do the markets underestimate the effects of the trade war and do they overestimate the Fed’s firepower and willingness?

Register and download

Trade war, geopolitics & Brexit to fuel global recession?

Andy Langenkamp
Thursday, 9 May 2019
Andy Langenkamp

Debts are at record levels whereas the room for monetary and fiscal stimulus is limited in many countries. Political risks are on the rise across the board. Are we headed for the fifth global recession in six decades with as triggers the US-Chinese trade war, geopolitical clashes, and Brexit?

Register and download
More Risk & Strategy publications

Foreign Currencies publications

Euro suffers from trade war

Eddy Markus
Monday, 20 May 2019
Eddy Markus

The trade war is negative for the euro, and the Fed will not hike its rates any time soon in the absence of a considerable decline in share prices. This is why prospects for EUR/USD stay negative.

Register and download

The UK economy will soon have to do without the support of stockpiling

Ron Markus
Monday, 20 May 2019
GBP
Ron Markus

The outcome of the Brexit process will continue to be unclear for a long period of time. Does this also come down to considerable downward potential for the pound?

Register and download
More Foreign Currencies publications

Interest Rates publications

Excessive deficit procedure looms for Italy

Ron Markus
Monday, 13 May 2019
Ron Markus

Trade worries could support a decline in EMU sovereign spreads, with the German - Italy bond yield spread being a notable exception. 

Register and download

Weakening growth and higher inflation forcing Fed to choose

Eddy Markus
Monday, 13 May 2019
Eddy Markus

The trade war makes life for the Fed more difficult as it puts a brake on economic growth while pushing up inflation

Register and download
More Interest Rates publications