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What are the specific risks for the financial markets? What political risks will have an impact?
What levels for EUR/USD and EUR/GBP can you expect in the months ahead. What are the scenarios?
Publications
To what levels will interest rates rise? And how fast? Is it necessary to hedge your interest rate risk?

Risk & Strategy publications

The Japanese route is tempting for the West

Eddy Markus
Thursday, 7 March 2019
Eddy Markus

Central banks will hit the monetary accelerator again and will not counter rising inflation in earnest. Will this be the run-up to a Japan scenario for Europe and the US?

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Taking the political-economic measure of the Big Three

Andy Langenkamp
Thursday, 14 March 2019
Andy Langenkamp

There is growing pessimism or – at least – doubtfulness among analysts and economists, regarding the vigour of the global economy. Which political risks are the main threats to the US, Chinese and European economies and which of the big three is most vulnerable?

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More Risk & Strategy publications

Foreign Currencies publications

The Fed has become data-dependent, and so has EUR/USD

Eddy Markus
Monday, 11 March 2019
Eddy Markus

The Fed is currently not planning to further hike rates, despite the fact that the world economy may be helped by stimulus from China and higher incomes for consumers. However, this doesn't necessarily mean an increase in EUR/USD...

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Prolonged uncertainty in the offing

Ron Markus
Monday, 11 March 2019
GBP
Ron Markus

Due to the division in London about Brexit, the uncertainty will remain and will put the pound under downward pressure

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More Foreign Currencies publications

Interest Rates publications

Excessively pessimistic growth expectations for EMU

Ron Markus
Monday, 18 March 2019
Ron Markus

It is not difficult to get pessimistic about the growth expectations for the EMU. However, we expect a recovery of growth and European long term rates later this year.

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End of QT does not preclude rate hike late this year

Eddy Markus
Monday, 18 March 2019
Eddy Markus

A lot of investors expect the Fed to announce the end of QT later this year during the meeting this week. We expect the same, but we also foresee higher growth this year with the potential of a rate hike at the end of this year.

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More Interest Rates publications