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What are the specific risks for the financial markets? What political risks will have an impact?
What levels for EUR/USD and EUR/GBP can you expect in the months ahead. What are the scenarios?
Publications
To what levels will interest rates rise? And how fast? Is it necessary to hedge your interest rate risk?

Risk & Strategy publications

Global economy pushed down by dollar squeeze

Eddy Markus
Thursday, 11 July 2019
Eddy Markus

Will monetary easing prove stronger or will worsening global economic prospects weigh most heavily for the financial markets? 

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Exaggerated optimism after busy political weekend

Andy Langenkamp
Thursday, 4 July 2019
Andy Langenkamp

Financial markets signal that the most important and urgent problems besetting the global economy are reasonably under control, for now, whereas the underlying forces are not being addressed. The result is very sluggish growth. Are the political trends in line with this outlook? And, will the relative lull soon be over?

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More Risk & Strategy publications

Foreign Currencies publications

Unconventional interventions in the offing

Eddy Markus
Monday, 15 July 2019
Eddy Markus

If the dollars keeps increasing in value, it won’t be long until Trump intervenes. This will lead to more volatility in EUR/USD.

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Brexit forcing BoE to join worldwide trend

Ron Markus
Monday, 15 July 2019
GBP
Ron Markus

For a long time it looked like the BoE was the only big bank increasing their interest rates. However, Brexit has finally changed their policy.

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More Foreign Currencies publications

Interest Rates publications

Investors welcome Lagarde with open arms but ECB relies on governments

Ron Markus
Monday, 8 July 2019
Ron Markus

There is an increasing concern whether an even looser monetary policy will stimulate growth as long as the governments don’t provide more fiscal stimulus. That’s why we expect the ECB to wait for more fiscal stimulus and be content for now by preventing a stronger euro. This will probably mean a rate cut to -0.5% and long-term rates that are not far from their bottom.

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Fed will be reticent about rate cuts

Eddy Markus
Monday, 8 July 2019
Eddy Markus

The Fed has good reasons to maintain the current policy or ease just slightly. Markets will have to reflect this in the coming period

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More Interest Rates publications