FX & Interest Rates

FX & Interest Rates

How fast will we return to ‘normal’ interest rate levels over the next couple of years? What type of monetary policy will be pursued by the major central banks and when will interest rates start rising? We will closely monitor events in our two-weekly reports and offer you the most likely scenarios for interest rates in the US and Eurozone.

The interest rate markets still offer excellent opportunities to hedge your organisation against rising interest rates in the future. Please contact us if you are considering hedging your risks. Our consultants make the bank’s pricing transparent and assist you in concluding interest rate derivatives. This ensures you will not overpay interest.

EUR/USD - GBP - CHF - JPY - CNY

Euro rally nearing its end

Eddy Markus
Monday, 30 January 2023
Eddy Markus

We think inflation and wage growth will remain higher than markets are pricing in. As a result, central banks will keep interest rates high for longer, which will negatively impact the euro.  
 

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Previous Issues

EUR/USD & GBP hedging perspective
Tuesday, 24 January 2023
The pound’s prospects are improving
Monday, 16 January 2023

FX Poll

Monthly FX Poll

Timo Venema
Thursday, 2 February 2023
Timo Venema

The median forecast for EURUSD saw an uptick last month, only the analyst predictions for 2027 remained unchanged. In Asia, dollar weakness continues as the USDJPY saw a significant decrease in expectation compared to last month. The EURJPY saw a more modest downward correction. The European median forecast continues to improve in favor of the Euro, with both the EURGBP and EURCHF increasing compared to January’s numbers.

 

Our Monthly FX Poll consists of more than just these four major currency pairs, so please find in our Monthly FX Poll an overview of the predictions of approximately 50 leading banks and brokers for the most common traded currency pairs (including the date for each party).

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Previous Issues

Monthly FX Poll
Monday, 2 January 2023
Monthly FX Poll
Thursday, 1 December 2022

EMU & US Interest Rates

Long-term interest rates will move in a wide trading range for the time being

Ron Markus
Monday, 23 January 2023
Ron Markus

Recent US economic data are disappointing, but this does not lead to diminishing hopes for a soft landing scenario. Long-term interest rates may continue to fluctuate in a fairly wide range in the coming weeks to months, but we expect a change later this year....
 

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Swap Rates & More

Daily Market Snapshot

Damian Honders
Friday, 3 February 2023
Damian Honders

A convenient overview (Excel sheet) of the FX rates, swap rates, Money Market deposits, Futures, Euribor and Libor fixings, Stock market indices, etc.

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Previous Issues

Daily Market Snapshot
Thursday, 2 February 2023
Daily Market Snapshot
Wednesday, 1 February 2023