Risk & Strategy

Risk & Strategy

How will the global economy develop in the coming quarters? How will the monetary policies of the central banks differ? What scenarios are likely for the key financial markets? What are the associated specific medium-term forecasts (three weeks to a year)? What political risks could change the scenario completely?

You will receive a clear analysis from us every Friday morning. One week you will receive a Global Financial Markets publication, followed by a Global Political Risk Monitor in the week after that. Independent, clear-cut and based on the world’s leading research. A solid basis for important decisions.

Global Financial Markets

Central banks versus the markets

Eddy Markus
Thursday, 26 January 2023
Eddy Markus

Financial markets have a distinctly different view on which scenario will develop than central banks. Recently, the markets have also begun to consider a third option. In this report, we explain what these three scenarios entail and which one we think is the most likely.

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Global Political Risk Monitor

The underperformer of the class

Andy Langenkamp
Thursday, 2 February 2023
Andy Langenkamp

The British economy will be the only one of the major economies to shrink this year, according to the IMF. What exactly underlies the pessimism about the UK and can political action be expected to confound the negative predictions?

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